0x8e36daa23ea3e9404de7b9b003ac1f7ff6f23544
0x8e36daa23ea3e9404de7b9b003ac1f7ff6f23544
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $50.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.470 | $23.50 | +$8.50 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.145 | $19.33 | −$0.67 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $7.86 | −$2.14 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$83.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.91at 0.404New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5
- +$40.15at 0.277Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
- +$37.43at 0.643Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$30.36at 0.769Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
- +$27.95at 0.710Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 17:32 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.4099999996 | $83.55 |
| 09-24 06:25 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 06:25 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 05:36 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 05:19 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 15:58 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 06:27 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 00:48 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 18:39 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 18:38 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 00:29 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 00:16 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 20:38 | Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers | SELL | 0.06 | $2.68 |
| 09-07 20:26 | Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers | SELL | 0.0751131526 | $3.35 |
| 09-07 19:35 | Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.4699999987 | $41.96 |