PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

aliascuz

0x8e2b3a77f3487db462a7a0d4550e451332a48ea8

Realised P&L
$-3.86
Volume
$156.58
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$8.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? · Yes0.9561.000$1.05+$0.05
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4700.485$1.03+$0.03
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6240.636$1.02+$0.02
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.9600.969$1.01+$0.01
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? · No0.3700.365$0.99−$0.01
Baylor vs. Arizona State · Arizona State0.6400.625$0.98−$0.02
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) · TYLOO0.4900.475$0.97−$0.03
Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Yes0.8540.796$0.93−$0.07
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.5100.315$0.62−$0.38
Spread: Eagles (-3.5) · Eagles0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30? · No0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner · Natus Vincere0.8000.000$0.00−$1.00
Patriots vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 · Over0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00
Seahawks vs. Commanders · Seahawks0.7800.000$0.00−$1.00
Panthers vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes0.5300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 06:46Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-01 06:46Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-01 06:46China Open: Ignacio Buse vs Quentin HalysBUY0.759999696$1.00
10-01 06:45China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio CobolliBUY0.649999805$1.00
10-01 05:58Jingshan: Michael Zheng vs Yanki ErelBUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-01 04:17Japan Open Tennis Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos TsitsipasBUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-01 02:45Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs BangladeshBUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-01 02:21China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han ShiBUY0.91$1.00
10-01 01:46Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?BUY0.8539998873$1.00
10-01 01:45Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas WingsBUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-01 01:45Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6239998053$1.00
10-01 00:01Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-30 21:46Chicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.78$1.00
09-30 21:29Atlanta Dream vs. Washington MysticsBUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-30 19:45Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group CBUY0.6299998362$1.00