jewbudd1936
0x8e27a0ef70f7e278bac79c0ad22fa2f475454afd
- Realised P&L
- $-97.40
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $91.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.470 | $36.15 | −$3.85 |
| UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) · Lone'er Kavanagh | 0.500 | 0.490 | $24.50 | −$0.50 |
| UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Petr Yan | 0.630 | 0.615 | $14.64 | −$0.36 |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) · Alexander Volkanovski | 0.500 | 0.495 | $12.68 | −$0.13 |
| UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) · Azamat Murzakanov | 0.830 | 0.665 | $4.01 | −$0.99 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13? · No | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$87.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.93at 0.526Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
- +$4.29at 0.700Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
- +$0.47at 0.850Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
- +$0.05at 0.993Will Iran strike UAE in March?
- +$0.00at 0.820MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 09:20 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $12.81 |
| 10-14 09:19 | UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.8299999153 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 09:18 | UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 10-14 09:17 | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.629999995 | $15.00 |
| 09-29 07:02 | Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999995 | $40.00 |
| 03-08 09:32 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13? | BUY | 0.24 | $43.14 |
| 03-08 09:32 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.3213256997 | $15.15 |
| 03-08 09:31 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | SELL | 0.17 | $27.98 |
| 03-08 09:31 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13? | BUY | 0.2299999967 | $44.64 |
| 03-08 09:30 | Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.77 | $9.16 |
| 03-08 09:30 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.106 | $3.88 |
| 03-08 09:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.3209992693 | $6.92 |
| 03-08 09:29 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.922 | $4.99 |
| 03-08 09:29 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.5909935861 | $9.93 |
| 03-08 09:29 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | SELL | 0.81 | $9.75 |