kruasanya
0x8e25b473240240fea51c9671dfc4b02ae8a0123c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $73.0k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $256.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$233.92at 0.450MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$168.41at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
- +$132.83at 0.115Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
- +$123.54at 0.154Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
- +$66.68at 0.088Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-21 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-21 20:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-21 20:40 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5 | $90.00 |
| 09-20 21:52 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.73 | $13.87 |
| 09-20 21:51 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 09-20 21:51 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $27.58 |
| 09-20 21:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1462633333 | $8.78 |
| 09-20 20:58 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6895011876 | $14.51 |
| 09-20 20:57 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $27.58 |
| 09-20 20:57 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.68 | $5.10 |
| 09-20 18:54 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.74 | $19.23 |
| 09-20 18:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $4.20 |