0x8e2127e40ee9e6866184ccced05694df162d0f9f
0x8e2127e40ee9e6866184ccced05694df162d0f9f
- Realised P&L
- $-42.26
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 712
- Open portfolio
- $38.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded712
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.42at 0.252Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 13?
- +$6.86at 0.457LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$6.41at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?
- +$6.19at 0.675Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 13?
- +$6.07at 0.603Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.24 |
| 10-04 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.70 |
| 10-04 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.91 | $8.00 |
| 10-04 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.919 | $6.19 |
| 10-04 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.89 | $5.74 |
| 10-04 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.963 | $6.99 |
| 10-04 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.69 |
| 10-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.99 |
| 10-04 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.00 |
| 10-04 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.00 |
| 10-04 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $6.50 |
| 10-04 01:45 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.30 |
| 10-03 17:35 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.9549999992 | $6.00 |
| 10-03 15:33 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.947 | $5.99 |
| 10-03 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.959 | $4.79 |