0x8e203d52b1b774860224019999f351ffd80a729b
0x8e203d52b1b774860224019999f351ffd80a729b
- Realised P&L
- $39.31
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $84.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.84at 0.245Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2AM ET
- +$15.50at 0.089Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?
- +$13.21at 0.075Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?
- +$12.71at 0.573Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$12.10at 0.573Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 18:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.4589999868 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 18:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.3069999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 18:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.7359998116 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.5569997956 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $35.13 |
| 10-08 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.4899999968 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999908 | $21.00 |
| 10-08 15:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $33.45 |
| 10-08 15:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999904 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 15:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | SELL | 0.8737848028 | $30.13 |
| 10-08 15:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999936 | $20.00 |