PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8e203d52b1b774860224019999f351ffd80a729b

0x8e203d52b1b774860224019999f351ffd80a729b

Realised P&L
$39.31
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$84.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 18:05Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 9?BUY0.4589999868$10.00
10-08 18:05Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 9?BUY0.3069999991$10.00
10-08 18:02Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 9?BUY0.7359998116$1.00
10-08 18:02Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 9?BUY0.5569997956$1.00
10-08 18:02Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 9?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-08 16:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSELL0.92$35.13
10-08 16:06Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.4899999968$50.00
10-08 15:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.5499999908$21.00
10-08 15:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-08 15:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSELL0.92$33.45
10-08 15:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.5499999904$20.00
10-08 15:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.5199999927$20.00
10-08 15:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-08 15:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSELL0.8737848028$30.13
10-08 15:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.5799999936$20.00