massyo
0x8e1f3155ae89b1bee9c674ac7b07ba5ee441bbd6
- Realised P&L
- $243.42
- Volume
- $77.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,482
- Open portfolio
- $796.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,482
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.92at 0.985Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30?
- +$6.84at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 16?
- +$4.70at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 10°C on March 24?
- +$4.61at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on March 24?
- +$4.29at 0.967Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on April 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |
| 08-04 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.94 |
| 08-04 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $73.79 |
| 08-04 22:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.997168 | $9.97 |
| 08-04 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.9901659968 | $155.21 |
| 08-04 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.987 | $19.74 |
| 08-04 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.986 | $174.28 |
| 08-04 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 08-04 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.90 |
| 08-04 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-04 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.994 | $17.83 |
| 08-04 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-04 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 08-04 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 08-04 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |