massyo
0x8e1f3155ae89b1bee9c674ac7b07ba5ee441bbd6
- Realised P&L
- $221.78
- Volume
- $99.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,717
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,717
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.50at 0.982Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 16?
- +$6.43at 0.986Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30?
- +$4.70at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 10°C on March 24?
- +$4.61at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on March 24?
- +$4.13at 0.968Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on April 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or below on September 24? | BUY | 0.995 | $44.74 |
| 09-22 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C or below on September 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $66.87 |
| 09-21 23:41 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on September 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-21 23:14 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-21 23:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-21 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-21 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-21 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $133.69 |
| 09-21 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $231.00 |
| 09-20 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $122.34 |
| 09-19 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $387.11 |
| 09-19 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or below on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $411.60 |
| 09-19 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $81.26 |
| 09-18 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $121.97 |
| 09-18 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $779.48 |