PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8E1aa44F86ff13214fbD292a50083F05d242E252-1772457180212

0x8e1aa44f86ff13214fbd292a50083f05d242e252

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$66.8k
Markets traded
395
Open portfolio
$6.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded395
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0500.026$2.60$2.40
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0310.015$2.35$2.65
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0400.014$1.75$3.25
Will Petr Yan fight Deiveson Figueiredo next? · Yes0.0170.001$0.15$4.85
Will Petr Yan fight Ricky Simón next? · Yes0.2180.001$0.01$4.99
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? · No0.3400.000$0.00$20.00
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 17:59Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.937$124.29
07-07 17:49Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?SELL0.503$7.25
07-07 17:43Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.0979999934$13.00
06-21 03:06Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.1099999956$20.00
06-21 00:46Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY0.8099999931$20.00
06-21 00:26Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.7799999719$20.00
06-20 21:45Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY0.4$20.00
06-20 20:19Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?SELL0.23$21.90
06-20 20:18Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.3399999912$20.00
06-20 19:01Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?SELL0.999$43.06
06-20 16:02Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.15$11.10
06-20 16:02Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.3499999895$20.00
06-20 15:58Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.579999994$25.00
06-20 15:37Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY0.2099999922$20.00
06-20 15:37Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.149999994$20.00