PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8E1aa44F86ff13214fbD292a50083F05d242E252-1772457180212

0x8e1aa44f86ff13214fbd292a50083f05d242e252

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$67.6k
Markets traded
433
Open portfolio
$2.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded433
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 04:55Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 19?SELL0.999$9.08
08-18 09:30Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 18?SELL0.999$8.91
08-18 09:30Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?SELL0.999$8.32
08-17 19:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?SELL0.38$3.45
08-17 19:45Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 17?SELL0.999$11.10
08-17 19:44Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 17?SELL0.999$12.49
08-17 10:07Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?SELL0.999$7.68
08-17 10:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17?SELL0.999$9.79
07-07 17:59Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.937$124.29
07-07 17:49Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?SELL0.503$7.25
07-07 17:43Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.0979999934$13.00
06-21 03:06Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.1099999956$20.00
06-21 00:46Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY0.8099999931$20.00
06-21 00:26Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.7799999719$20.00
06-20 21:45Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY0.4$20.00