0x8E1aa44F86ff13214fbD292a50083F05d242E252-1772457180212
0x8e1aa44f86ff13214fbd292a50083f05d242e252
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $67.6k
- Markets traded
- 433
- Open portfolio
- $2.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded433
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.71at 0.101Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$88.68at 0.110JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$57.37at 0.545XRP Up or Down - March 20, 3PM ET
- +$35.79at 0.236Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1PM ET
- +$35.50at 0.701Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.08 |
| 08-18 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.91 |
| 08-18 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.32 |
| 08-17 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.45 |
| 08-17 19:45 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.10 |
| 08-17 19:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.49 |
| 08-17 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.68 |
| 08-17 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.79 |
| 07-07 17:59 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.937 | $124.29 |
| 07-07 17:49 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.503 | $7.25 |
| 07-07 17:43 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.0979999934 | $13.00 |
| 06-21 03:06 | Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.1099999956 | $20.00 |
| 06-21 00:46 | Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8099999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-21 00:26 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.7799999719 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 21:45 | Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |