PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

GellerCharlie

0x8e0c9366ec7a1be9cb073e0f7d72f3dfc9aa7fa3

Realised P&L
$13.0k
Volume
$607.7k
Markets traded
996
Open portfolio
$803.39

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded996
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November? · Yes0.3160.265$256.65−$49.83
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in November? · Yes0.4760.470$87.82−$1.13
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in November? · Yes0.1100.345$81.44+$55.47
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in November? · Yes0.4100.375$80.16−$7.48
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November? · Yes0.1870.130$65.59−$28.74
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November? · Yes0.1220.100$47.72−$10.33
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November? · Yes0.2260.160$42.61−$17.51
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $585 in November? · Yes0.1700.115$38.52−$18.43
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.00 in November? · Yes0.3760.565$25.43+$8.53
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of November? · No0.1400.110$24.20−$6.60
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $555 end of November? · Yes0.2200.155$17.05−$7.15
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in November? · Yes0.4600.475$11.88+$0.38
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 in November? · Yes0.2600.270$6.75+$0.25
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in November? · Yes0.3400.310$6.51−$0.63
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $40 in November? · Yes0.1500.180$4.50+$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 04:26Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?BUY0.14$1.39
11-01 04:18Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of November?BUY0.14$15.40
11-01 04:13Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $555 end of November?BUY0.22$24.20
11-01 04:13Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of November?BUY0.14$15.40
11-01 04:13Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November?BUY0.33$36.30
11-01 00:06Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November?BUY0.35$38.50
10-31 23:58Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November?BUY0.35$35.00
10-31 15:13Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in November?BUY0.3$3.00
10-31 14:59Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in November?BUY0.34$7.14
10-31 14:50Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $40 in November?BUY0.15$3.75
10-31 14:50Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?BUY0.205$8.20
10-31 14:50Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?BUY0.15$1.89
10-31 14:40Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in November?BUY0.48$72.00
10-31 14:40Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November?BUY0.22$24.64
10-31 14:40Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.00 in November?BUY0.3755555556$16.90