avocadoo
0x8e02cf379e73484501314e40206e13b2d488b42e
- Realised P&L
- $-581.52
- Volume
- $86.7k
- Markets traded
- 506
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded506
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$389.94at 0.102Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29?
- +$215.50at 0.477Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$113.95at 0.421Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1AM ET
- +$108.17at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$101.81at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 13:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.09 | $351.22 |
| 09-30 13:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.0898517446 | $200.00 |
| 09-30 13:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.7740939766 | $586.15 |
| 09-30 10:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.4598615541 | $166.08 |
| 09-30 10:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.0354720482 | $184.68 |
| 09-30 10:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.4598737575 | $182.14 |
| 09-30 10:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.1814828262 | $201.94 |
| 09-30 10:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 06:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 09-29 21:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.2696045799 | $300.00 |
| 09-29 21:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.0794094291 | $300.00 |
| 09-29 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.095914061 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 10:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.0245072648 | $6.76 |
| 09-29 10:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 03:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |