PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

avocadoo

0x8e02cf379e73484501314e40206e13b2d488b42e

Realised P&L
$-581.52
Volume
$86.7k
Markets traded
506
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded506
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0900.185$721.95+$370.74
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2? · No0.0900.205$456.31+$256.31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 2? · No0.0300.015$48.33−$51.66
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? · No0.0950.009$29.92−$270.08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 1? · No0.0220.003$22.40−$177.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 5? · No0.0250.014$3.86−$2.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET · Down0.4680.000$0.00−$39.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1AM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$24.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00−$49.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$34.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10AM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$24.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2AM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$49.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00−$47.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 13:30Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.09$351.22
09-30 13:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?BUY0.0898517446$200.00
09-30 13:00Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?SELL0.7740939766$586.15
09-30 10:22Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.4598615541$166.08
09-30 10:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2?SELL0.0354720482$184.68
09-30 10:05Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.4598737575$182.14
09-30 10:04Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?SELL0.1814828262$201.94
09-30 10:03Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 30?BUY0.339999985$5.00
09-30 06:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.46$18.40
09-29 21:32Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.2696045799$300.00
09-29 21:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2?BUY0.0794094291$300.00
09-29 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29?BUY0.095914061$50.00
09-29 10:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 5?BUY0.0245072648$6.76
09-29 10:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2?BUY0.07$100.00
09-29 03:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.5$20.00