0x8DFAbcf7be5E892Bd1F8BcfAf972F5BEbE5B434D-1776155586939
0x8dfabcf7be5e892bd1f8bcfaf972f5bebe5b434d
- Realised P&L
- $0.20
- Volume
- $236.50
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $8.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.640 | $4.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.545 | $3.42 | −$1.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.70at 0.658Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
- +$1.32at 0.790Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$0.66at 0.790Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
- +$0.48at 0.810Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$0.29at 0.903Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 21:08 | Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.809999992 | $5.08 |
| 09-13 21:08 | Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 19:43 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $4.92 |
| 08-29 19:41 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 19:36 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.93 | $10.45 |
| 08-29 19:29 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.9 | $10.12 |
| 05-11 01:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.85 | $10.16 |
| 05-02 13:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.8099999874 | $9.68 |
| 05-02 13:17 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.92 |
| 05-02 13:17 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SELL | 0.798 | $4.91 |
| 05-02 13:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.8119999701 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 13:15 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 12:54 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.996 | $7.58 |
| 05-02 12:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.31 |
| 04-14 21:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.86 |