PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8df0b47bB8a8E55B9522a1d31115Dbf826Ac9629-1772196929484

0x8df0b47bb8a8e55b9522a1d31115dbf826ac9629

Realised P&L
$-832.28
Volume
$152.7k
Markets traded
488
Open portfolio
$118.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded488
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28? · Up0.2380.195$118.78−$26.41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 7? · Up0.0350.000$0.00−$30.00
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down0.2160.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Mauricio Ruffy win in Round 3? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.1330.000$0.00−$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$10.06
XRP Up or Down - March 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Down0.5690.000$0.00−$19.52
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Up0.5620.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$5.00
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Down0.4670.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down0.2120.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Down0.4570.000$0.00−$20.00
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.0090.000$0.00−$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up0.0090.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 07:31S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28?BUY0.2383583008$145.19
09-19 12:08UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.27$250.00
09-19 12:08Will Mauricio Ruffy win in Round 5?BUY0.1195836157$180.00
09-19 12:07Will Mauricio Ruffy win in Round 5?BUY0.0699999999$50.00
09-19 12:07Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?BUY0.4499999994$200.00
09-19 12:06Will Arman Tsarukyan win in Round 2?BUY0.21$80.00
09-19 12:06Will Mauricio Ruffy win in Round 4?BUY0.08$50.00
09-19 12:06Will Mauricio Ruffy win in Round 3?BUY0.08$50.00
09-18 12:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-15 10:42S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.3499999997$100.00
09-15 10:42S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.1565855402$40.00
08-18 06:28S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 18?BUY0.1142857143$20.00
08-17 17:34S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?BUY0.0307033178$40.00
08-17 13:44S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?SELL0.3571278774$87.19
08-17 13:43S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?BUY0.4095904079$100.00