0x8df0b47bB8a8E55B9522a1d31115Dbf826Ac9629-1772196929484
0x8df0b47bb8a8e55b9522a1d31115dbf826ac9629
- Realised P&L
- $-832.28
- Volume
- $152.7k
- Markets traded
- 488
- Open portfolio
- $118.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded488
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.068S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?
- +$937.72at 0.203S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9?
- +$779.06at 0.225SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?
- +$583.46at 0.073S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?
- +$452.06at 0.380S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.2383583008 | $145.19 |
| 09-19 12:08 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.27 | $250.00 |
| 09-19 12:08 | Will Mauricio Ruffy win in Round 5? | BUY | 0.1195836157 | $180.00 |
| 09-19 12:07 | Will Mauricio Ruffy win in Round 5? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 12:07 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.4499999994 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 12:06 | Will Arman Tsarukyan win in Round 2? | BUY | 0.21 | $80.00 |
| 09-19 12:06 | Will Mauricio Ruffy win in Round 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 12:06 | Will Mauricio Ruffy win in Round 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 10:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 10:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.1565855402 | $40.00 |
| 08-18 06:28 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 18? | BUY | 0.1142857143 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 17:34 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17? | BUY | 0.0307033178 | $40.00 |
| 08-17 13:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17? | SELL | 0.3571278774 | $87.19 |
| 08-17 13:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17? | BUY | 0.4095904079 | $100.00 |