PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8De51fA1e2b768d4eF57376564284C8753b484D7-1765907608565

0x8de51fa1e2b768d4ef57376564284c8753b484d7

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$49.7k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$505.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5000.635$317.50+$67.50
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9530.960$168.87+$1.14
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8300.955$19.20+$2.51
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$132.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 04:29China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.953$4.76
09-06 02:09Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$16.68
09-04 17:45Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?SELL0.19$42.18
09-04 17:45Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?SELL0.26$13.00
09-04 04:39Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?BUY0.011$82.35
09-04 04:39Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.94$426.54
09-04 04:39Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.941$56.46
09-03 12:12Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?BUY0.071$7.10
09-03 12:08Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?BUY0.07$14.00
09-03 12:08Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?BUY0.069$3.45
09-03 12:07Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?BUY0.069$16.21
09-03 12:07Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?BUY0.0665$2.66
09-03 12:07Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?BUY0.06$5.31
09-03 12:04Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?BUY0.0095177128$1.00
09-03 12:00Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?BUY0.059$1.30