PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

doniczka

0x8de0fc70f996483d02a422931c52d9e2627fdff2

Realised P&L
$17.17
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$127.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.6720.675$100.45+$0.45
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0320.029$27.32$2.68
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 21:06Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.6799999932$20.00
09-14 21:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
09-14 21:04Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0299999999$10.00
09-13 21:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2199999974$10.00
09-13 21:04Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0309999999$10.00
08-24 20:07Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.6699999977$80.00
08-23 08:36Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0369999965$10.00
02-06 06:47Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.1812345117$25.89
02-06 06:44Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.0133346048$38.11
01-09 06:52Clippers vs. NetsBUY0.5899999947$10.00
01-08 18:45Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?SELL0.19$7.92
01-06 18:32Clippers vs. KnicksBUY0.3799999742$5.00
01-05 09:37Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
01-05 09:15Warriors vs. ClippersBUY0.5299999899$10.00
01-02 19:03Celtics vs. ClippersBUY0.4599999595$5.00