doniczka
0x8de0fc70f996483d02a422931c52d9e2627fdff2
- Realised P&L
- $17.17
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $127.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.672 | 0.675 | $100.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.029 | $27.32 | −$2.68 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.89at 0.070Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$8.87at 0.530Warriors vs. Clippers
- +$8.11at 0.010Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$6.95at 0.590Clippers vs. Nets
- +$4.01at 0.714Jazz vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:06 | Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 21:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 21:04 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 21:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 21:04 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0309999999 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 20:07 | Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6699999977 | $80.00 |
| 08-23 08:36 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0369999965 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 06:47 | Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.1812345117 | $25.89 |
| 02-06 06:44 | Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.0133346048 | $38.11 |
| 01-09 06:52 | Clippers vs. Nets | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 01-08 18:45 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $7.92 |
| 01-06 18:32 | Clippers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 01-05 09:37 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 09:15 | Warriors vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 01-02 19:03 | Celtics vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |