Kevinnnsprout
0x8de018b7c87ab708078c8270f4c67681142ec472
- Realised P&L
- $-891.66
- Volume
- $44.2k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $40.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$292.78at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$196.07at 0.478Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
- +$124.91at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
- +$98.56at 0.617US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$39.77at 0.920US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 07:28 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.9069998621 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 07:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 07:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 07:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.984999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 07:26 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 07:24 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.58 |
| 10-14 07:24 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 07:24 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:19 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 07:52 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 01:57 | Minnesota vs. Purdue | BUY | 0.93 | $109.00 |
| 09-11 02:36 | 49ers vs. Rams | SELL | 0.18 | $14.34 |
| 09-11 01:18 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.7299999989 | $58.14 |
| 07-18 02:47 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5899999963 | $43.02 |
| 07-18 02:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.942 | $44.16 |