sosamba
0x8dd9c9c2732bc1165eaa6cc3a7905661901b19f6
- Realised P&L
- $-62.79
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $490.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.275 | $242.00 | +$22.00 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.260 | 0.235 | $207.88 | −$22.11 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.052 | $40.87 | −$7.65 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.22 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 78°F or higher on May 12? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.58at 0.189Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on May 12?
- +$16.60at 0.887Ethereum above $2,500 on June 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:12 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.064156464 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 08:11 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2599999999 | $230.00 |
| 09-17 08:11 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.055 | $8.53 |
| 09-17 08:10 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.25 | $220.00 |
| 07-07 14:48 | Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | BUY | 0.031 | $147.22 |
| 06-06 15:57 | Ethereum above $2,500 on June 6? | BUY | 0.8872149284 | $130.61 |
| 05-12 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on May 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $105.57 |
| 05-12 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 78°F or higher on May 12? | BUY | 0.1579999765 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on May 12? | BUY | 0.1892335975 | $20.00 |
| 05-02 17:53 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.99 |
| 05-02 17:53 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.00 |
| 05-02 17:53 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |