PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pengu1n

0x8dd8f566b50f54a7a8ec02412723974b40679a1c

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$2.72M
Markets traded
10,256
Open portfolio
$6.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,256
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7540.847$741.18+$80.91
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.5230.470$588.48−$66.99
Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7920.850$578.90+$39.42
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? · No0.7880.910$334.38+$44.87
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? · No0.3770.120$330.65−$707.30
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7280.977$292.18+$74.35
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes0.7900.875$250.71+$24.33
Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award? · No0.8900.997$217.35+$23.27
Will Adam Driver be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8890.963$199.46+$15.15
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · No0.2700.250$198.62−$15.92
Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · No0.9210.981$196.20+$12.00
Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8790.964$196.12+$17.30
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9070.945$188.06+$7.56
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7280.865$178.19+$28.30
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7160.820$175.84+$22.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:06Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.78$57.72
11-01 22:54Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.78$7.80
11-01 22:33Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.78$17.16
11-01 22:22Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.78$156.00
11-01 21:44Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.75$8.25
11-01 21:35Spread: Cardinals (-5.5)BUY0.2579999944$6.50
11-01 21:06Spread: Steelers (-20.5)BUY0.97$8.42
11-01 20:59Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)BUY0.46$11.50
11-01 20:57Spread: Steelers (-20.5)BUY0.11$2.75
11-01 20:53Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5BUY0.65$32.50
11-01 20:20Spread: Steelers (-13.5)BUY0.87$30.45
11-01 20:19Spread: Steelers (-13.5)BUY0.18$6.30
11-01 19:51Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.78$17.94
10-31 21:48Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.75$3.75
10-31 20:27Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.78$3.90