0x8Dd237f53Fad6C242E288e722941E7E69D5E6bA2-1770935306228
0x8dd237f53fad6c242e288e722941e7e69d5e6ba2
- Realised P&L
- $119.78
- Volume
- $160.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$744.68at 0.513SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$278.14at 0.394Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5
- +$151.24at 0.387Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$92.54at 0.147Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$71.81at 0.690Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 19:01 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0069999988 | $5.75 |
| 06-13 13:45 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4571081087 | $265.55 |
| 06-13 13:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 23:30 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.358655042 | $120.00 |
| 06-12 23:29 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5799999995 | $167.00 |
| 06-12 23:26 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | BUY | 0.5400244048 | $117.98 |
| 06-12 23:25 | SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day | BUY | 0.4903676304 | $12.35 |
| 06-12 23:16 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BUY | 0.1199999986 | $70.00 |
| 06-12 23:10 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4454280276 | $900.00 |
| 06-12 23:09 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $238.46 |
| 06-12 16:09 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY | 0.7171345402 | $111.77 |
| 06-12 16:09 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | SELL | 0.1141882007 | $117.23 |
| 06-12 15:53 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY | 0.6599999992 | $62.31 |
| 06-12 15:53 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.07 |
| 06-12 15:52 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | SELL | 0.0480507552 | $63.15 |