bjknkj08
0x8dcfcab8072894677897833c40cece17e142f303
- Realised P&L
- $18.49
- Volume
- $21.1k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $113.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on September 28? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $113.50 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.97at 0.994Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 22?
- +$0.84at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 26°C or below on April 15?
- +$0.64at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on June 25?
- +$0.33at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?
- +$0.33at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $113.45 |
| 09-21 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.38 |
| 09-21 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.49 |
| 09-21 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.23 |
| 09-20 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.34 |
| 09-20 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.42 |
| 09-19 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.34 |
| 09-18 17:25 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 16°C or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.20 |
| 09-14 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.19 |
| 09-13 02:07 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.15 |
| 09-12 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.12 |
| 09-10 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.18 |
| 09-08 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 08-28 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.13 |
| 08-27 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.18 |