ARMAGEDDON126
0x8dcb4ee11932ccee91f53a109907c55ff92496f6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $73.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,663
- Open portfolio
- $43.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,663
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.72at 0.242Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 2?
- +$41.45at 0.103Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 25?
- +$37.51at 0.708Solana Up or Down - July 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$35.94at 0.680Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$33.65at 0.764Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.9389999997 | $40.00 |
| 10-31 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.075 | $0.45 |
| 10-31 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 10-31 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.02 |
| 10-31 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 10-31 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.64 |
| 10-31 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.22 |
| 10-31 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.1099999971 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.02 |
| 10-30 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 72°F or higher on October 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.39 |
| 10-30 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.78 |
| 10-30 00:04 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.32 |
| 10-30 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |