LordPendragon
0x8dc5f0a395157908265713a479c74974cdd523a2
- Realised P&L
- $4.70
- Volume
- $32.93
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $0.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.625 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.88at 0.417France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$2.29at 0.472England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$0.40at 0.961Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:56 | Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 17:21 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 07-13 17:59 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4049999291 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 22:25 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 22:19 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.41 |
| 06-12 00:38 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9589999623 | $10.00 |