PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LordPendragon

0x8dc5f0a395157908265713a479c74974cdd523a2

Realised P&L
$4.70
Volume
$32.93
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$0.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar14.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.6300.625$0.99$0.01
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 21:56Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
07-15 17:21England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.459999885$2.00
07-13 17:59France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4049999291$2.00
07-03 22:25Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
07-03 22:19Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.999$10.41
06-12 00:38Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.9589999623$10.00