0x8dc4c631cf358f5962f19db89dccb74191c4cd15
0x8dc4c631cf358f5962f19db89dccb74191c4cd15
- Realised P&L
- $1.24
- Volume
- $122.94
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $15.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State vs. Houston · Houston | 0.640 | 0.635 | $9.50 | −$0.07 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.790 | 1.000 | $6.15 | +$1.29 |
| Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$1.87 |
| Will Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
| Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-10-17? · No | 0.210 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 15:42 | Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.0229999998 | $1.91 |
| 10-17 15:42 | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.2099999815 | $1.93 |
| 10-17 15:42 | Will Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.92 |
| 10-17 14:58 | Oklahoma State vs. Houston | BUY | 0.64 | $9.57 |
| 10-17 14:29 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.7899999919 | $4.86 |