merisiga
0x8dbe22e743b45d74a94786fb085ab711e0b2f3de
- Realised P&L
- $-184.20
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 602
- Open portfolio
- $3.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded602
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.00at 0.400Hawks vs. Pistons
- +$62.79at 0.193Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
- +$58.38at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 21?
- +$56.65at 0.150Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
- +$54.79at 0.214Timberwolves vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 02:49 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-26 02:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-26 02:34 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-26 02:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-26 02:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-26 01:29 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-26 01:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-26 01:24 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.94 |
| 09-26 01:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-26 01:14 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.94 |
| 09-26 00:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-26 00:49 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-26 00:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-26 00:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-26 00:24 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |