PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

legion

0x8dbde0d4836f410d50f431d3a966d33b340abed4

Realised P&L
$12.00
Volume
$387.86
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$131.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode? · Yes0.7400.750$60.81+$0.81
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? · No0.6500.595$36.62−$3.38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9400.935$33.78−$0.18
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? · No0.3080.000$0.00−$4.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 22:01Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9399999889$33.96
09-29 21:58Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?BUY0.6499999951$40.00
09-29 21:57Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?BUY0.7399999975$60.00
07-19 17:46Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5919999984$50.00
07-18 09:15Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5919998248$1.00
05-06 21:50Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?BUY0.3079999586$4.14
01-31 19:32Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?BUY0.8499998189$3.52
11-26 18:50Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?BUY0.9809999974$3.45
11-06 03:54Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL0.94$3.45
08-16 16:39Du Plessis vs. AdesanyaBUY0.5199998514$0.98
08-16 15:57Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?BUY0.379999962$3.00
08-03 14:09UFC Fight Night: Tony Ferguson vs. Michael ChiesaBUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-03 14:09UFC Fight Night: Shara Magomedov vs. Michal OleksiejczukBUY0.719999856$1.00
08-03 14:09UFC Fight Night: Cory Sandhagen vs. Umar NurmagomedovBUY0.77$2.00
08-03 14:09Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?SELL0.81$3.99