PolyBot

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Traders

rayfound

0x8dbc6da0c3a1e1156d29076e305e194fd98a766c

Realised P&L
$-29.04
Volume
$7.0k
Markets traded
426
Open portfolio
$6.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded426
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 04:01Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 19?SELL0.49$2.45
09-19 04:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19?SELL0.33$1.03
09-19 04:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 19?SELL0.45$0.45
09-19 03:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.32$1.00
09-19 03:05Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 19?SELL0.05$0.50
09-18 18:44Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?SELL0.13$0.65
09-18 12:35Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 20?SELL0.08$0.40
09-18 08:28Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 18?SELL0.99$1.76
09-18 07:46Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.19$0.95
09-18 05:41Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-18 05:40Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18?SELL0.02$0.10
09-18 05:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18?SELL0.12$0.60
09-17 23:54Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 18?SELL0.16$0.80
09-17 23:47Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19?SELL0.26$1.30
09-17 07:42Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?SELL0.98$2.08