yangak
0x8db877d6659f44b7114c61372ee6b6afb913e443
- Realised P&L
- $-534.82
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $59.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.115 | $59.85 | −$191.37 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.742 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.85at 0.639Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$36.04at 0.504Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$26.58at 0.770Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$8.56at 0.900Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$5.41at 0.897Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 09:27 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $17.22 |
| 06-10 07:30 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.369999897 | $1.94 |
| 06-10 07:29 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.32 |
| 05-21 07:37 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $232.58 |
| 05-21 07:31 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2873757594 | $94.60 |
| 03-16 12:55 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6690887241 | $220.27 |
| 03-16 12:55 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.301 | $220.27 |
| 03-09 07:59 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3509999884 | $11.16 |
| 03-09 07:58 | Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.778 | $2.04 |
| 03-09 07:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.983 | $9.12 |
| 02-19 03:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9299999984 | $5.80 |
| 02-19 03:20 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.285 | $5.79 |
| 02-10 04:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8299999869 | $2.53 |
| 01-28 04:21 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7149490663 | $103.04 |
| 01-28 04:20 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.32 | $64.00 |