PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8dafe883c7a6c0ed644c9d755ddf7885a7988b13

0x8dafe883c7a6c0ed644c9d755ddf7885a7988b13

Realised P&L
$84.64
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$492.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.7100.705$287.96−$2.04
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.7661.000$141.64+$33.10
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.1100.180$63.00+$24.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 19:32Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.766293997$108.54
10-03 11:13Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.11$38.50
10-03 11:10Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.7099999997$290.00
07-14 20:21Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.051$31.60
07-12 09:20Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3849999988$140.31
07-07 17:36Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY0.5999999976$50.00
07-07 17:33Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2$48.72
07-07 17:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.017$3.64
07-05 10:05Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.07$20.02
07-05 10:05Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.068$17.51
06-22 18:01Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.067$18.66
06-20 20:29Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.6299999998$85.39
06-08 18:20US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?BUY0.8399999957$171.43
05-10 17:26Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?SELL0.0812906186$28.34
05-10 17:20Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.9099999971$315.87
Trader 0x8dafe883c7a6c0ed644c9d755ddf7885a7988b13 · PolyBot Pro