PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NB42

0x8dae93ab84c97443f2c1928ba78c287cdc321fe2

Realised P&L
$-132.57
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$88.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 1? · Yes0.4600.983$19.65+$10.45
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1? · Yes0.5500.835$16.70+$5.70
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1? · Yes0.5400.675$13.50+$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1? · Yes0.5500.715$12.13+$2.80
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 1? · Yes0.6300.520$10.40−$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1? · Yes0.4930.390$9.35−$2.48
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 1? · Yes0.4600.405$6.59−$0.89
Oneil Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Under0.8300.000$0.00−$4.59
Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over0.1600.000$0.00−$4.59
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 · Under0.4700.000$0.00−$4.65
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 · Over0.4600.000$0.00−$4.23
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals0.6300.000$0.00−$4.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 16:18Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 0%-5%?SELL0.014$0.13
09-29 16:18Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.566$44.13
09-17 18:41Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.219999999$4.60
09-16 21:25San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5BUY0.4699999535$4.65
09-16 20:45Oneil Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.8299999801$4.59
09-16 20:41Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.16$4.59
09-15 21:45Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5BUY0.5$4.59
09-15 20:58Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5BUY0.4599999587$4.23
09-15 20:47New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5BUY0.51$4.59
09-15 20:41Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5BUY0.4899999612$4.67
09-15 20:12San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis CardinalsBUY0.63$4.41
09-14 21:15New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5BUY0.4899999612$4.67
09-14 19:48San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5BUY0.4599999587$4.23
09-07 19:32Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.644$18.57
08-23 16:40Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.6766984804$25.38