NB42
0x8dae93ab84c97443f2c1928ba78c287cdc321fe2
- Realised P&L
- $-132.57
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $88.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.85at 0.472Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5
- +$4.74at 0.502New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5
- +$4.74at 0.502Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
- +$4.48at 0.512Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
- +$-0.60at 0.080Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 0%-5%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:18 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.13 |
| 09-29 16:18 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.566 | $44.13 |
| 09-17 18:41 | Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.219999999 | $4.60 |
| 09-16 21:25 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.4699999535 | $4.65 |
| 09-16 20:45 | Oneil Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8299999801 | $4.59 |
| 09-16 20:41 | Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.16 | $4.59 |
| 09-15 21:45 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $4.59 |
| 09-15 20:58 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4599999587 | $4.23 |
| 09-15 20:47 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $4.59 |
| 09-15 20:41 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4899999612 | $4.67 |
| 09-15 20:12 | San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.63 | $4.41 |
| 09-14 21:15 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4899999612 | $4.67 |
| 09-14 19:48 | San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4599999587 | $4.23 |
| 09-07 19:32 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.644 | $18.57 |
| 08-23 16:40 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.6766984804 | $25.38 |