PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

kappinator

0x8dab04347717f3765c76552fa23a4183fc8513f4

Realised P&L
$-16.70
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$37.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3890.515$26.50+$6.50
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3000.214$6.23$2.49
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.0270.016$1.19$0.81
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.0250.013$1.03$0.97
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? · Yes0.0080.004$0.89$0.89
Will VfB Stuttgart be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.0100.008$0.80$0.20
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes0.0280.009$0.61$1.39
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$18.98
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$5.00
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? · No0.1400.000$0.00$2.00
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? · No0.0800.000$0.00$2.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$3.00
Will USD reach 18,500 Indonesian rupiah by June 30? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00$2.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 03:55Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2999999828$8.72
07-21 03:54Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3889999938$20.00
07-20 09:24Will VfB Stuttgart be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?BUY0.01$1.00
06-22 07:34Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5099999906$18.98
06-17 04:51Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
06-17 04:50Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?BUY0.08$2.00
06-15 10:28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.162999976$5.00
06-15 10:28Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1609999762$5.00
06-15 10:22Will USD reach 18,500 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
06-15 10:22Will USD reach 18,500 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?BUY0.1137547618$1.00
06-15 10:14Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.98$35.56
04-06 17:41Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.2399999835$8.71
04-03 16:20Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.359999987$9.08
04-03 16:15Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.479999952$1.85
04-03 16:12Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.08$0.87