PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Adirelad

0x8da6ed13544ee02c128205b68f46812b4d87c757

Realised P&L
$-117.59
Volume
$25.4k
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$0.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? · Yes0.4340.055$0.98$6.78
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.3410.000$0.00$48.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-15 18:33Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.008$1.00
05-05 03:48Iran closes its airspace by May 8?SELL0.24$10.00
05-04 18:20Iran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY0.3599999938$30.00
05-01 14:48Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of April 27 2026?BUY0.2741019$27.41
05-01 14:31Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $397.50 Week of April 27 2026?SELL0.96$96.00
05-01 03:42Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 Week of April 27 2026?SELL0.9266409861$6.01
04-30 17:42Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 Week of April 27 2026?BUY0.7699998691$5.00
04-30 17:41Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 Week of April 27 2026?SELL0.23$2.76
04-30 16:59Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 Week of April 27 2026?BUY0.44$5.28
04-30 14:50Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $397.50 Week of April 27 2026?BUY0.5$50.00
04-30 13:40Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.1113706193$4.64
04-30 13:38Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSELL0.155$3.10
04-30 13:36Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.27$5.40
04-29 21:17Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $457.50 Week of April 27 2026?SELL0.9464006827$44.36
04-29 13:06Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $457.50 Week of April 27 2026?BUY0.64$30.00