0x8da501011004e76c06bceeae8ba5f8af48fa1387
0x8da501011004e76c06bceeae8ba5f8af48fa1387
- Realised P&L
- $-4.25
- Volume
- $38.58
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $5.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 28? · No | 0.950 | 0.995 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Down | 0.960 | 1.000 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 28? · No | 0.950 | 0.978 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 29? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 28? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.946 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No | 0.951 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19? · No | 0.961 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 21? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 19? · No | 0.968 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 21? · No | 0.966 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.05at 0.953Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 17?
- +$0.04at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18?
- +$0.04at 0.963Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on September 16?
- +$0.04at 0.963XRP Up or Down on September 19?
- +$0.04at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 03:02 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 29? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 02:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 02:16 | Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:46 | XRP Up or Down - September 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:45 | Solana Up or Down - September 26, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:30 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:02 | Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9649999952 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:45 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 26? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:30 | BNB Up or Down - September 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9609999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 02:46 | XRP Up or Down - September 25, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.962 | $1.00 |