randomguessbot
0x8d97b8adc9815e7612fc1febe358ed2f29d19c26
- Realised P&L
- $-1.19
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Markets traded
- 608
- Open portfolio
- $112.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded608
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.63at 0.582Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
- +$17.43at 0.730Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.93at 0.184Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?
- +$15.49at 0.530Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.29at 0.436Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:56 | LoL: UB Alma Mater vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season | SELL | 0.974 | $24.35 |
| 07-30 23:23 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30? | SELL | 0.991 | $2.97 |
| 07-30 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.94 |
| 07-30 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30? | SELL | 0.992 | $3.54 |
| 07-29 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.08 |
| 07-29 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.86 |
| 07-29 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.12 |
| 07-29 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.97 |
| 07-29 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.02 |
| 07-29 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.81 |
| 07-29 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 07-29 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.27 |
| 07-29 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.34 |
| 07-29 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.94 |
| 07-29 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.74 |