PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

randomguessbot

0x8d97b8adc9815e7612fc1febe358ed2f29d19c26

Realised P&L
$117.76
Volume
$61.2k
Markets traded
2,332
Open portfolio
$36.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,332
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) · Natus Vincere0.7801.000$9.99+$2.19
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · Movistar KOI0.6200.755$7.55+$1.35
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs · Aurora Gaming0.7601.000$5.00+$1.20
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) · Shopify Rebellion0.4900.485$4.85$0.05
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs · JD Gaming0.4200.425$4.25+$0.05
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - European Pro League Group A · Dawn Bulls0.5100.495$3.64$0.11
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · GamerLegion0.7400.740$0.75+$0.00
Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage · SPARTA0.3100.095$0.48$1.08
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28? · Yes0.2230.000$0.00$4.02
Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+2.5) · Kiwoom DRX Challengers0.6900.000$0.00$6.90
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) · ThunderTalk Gaming0.3800.000$0.00$3.80
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner · LGD Gaming0.4500.000$0.00$0.82
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid0.5900.000$0.00$3.00
Games Total: O/U 4.5 · Under0.6400.000$0.00$6.40
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5) · BetBoom Team0.2700.000$0.00$0.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 11:00LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.7099999702$5.00
09-08 10:52LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.6199999587$3.00
08-29 12:34LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.86$5.00
08-26 15:12Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?SELL0.999$16.09
08-25 12:44Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?BUY0.9309999972$5.00
08-25 12:44Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?BUY0.9309999972$10.00
08-08 05:20LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaSELL0.3$19.49
08-04 07:56LoL: UB Alma Mater vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonSELL0.974$24.35
07-30 23:23Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?SELL0.991$2.97
07-30 22:28Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?SELL0.99$4.94
07-30 07:39Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?SELL0.992$3.54
07-29 21:30Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 29?SELL0.99$4.08
07-29 20:54Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 29?SELL0.99$3.86
07-29 18:54Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?SELL0.99$2.12
07-29 16:45Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?SELL0.99$2.97