0x8d93fc7236d08a6462c0a92a58c176fd8eed1f21
0x8d93fc7236d08a6462c0a92a58c176fd8eed1f21
- Realised P&L
- $2.66
- Volume
- $315.28
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $7.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.805 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.775 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.745 | $1.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.405 | $1.03 | −$0.97 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.120 | $0.57 | −$1.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.33at 0.240Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$5.63at 0.268Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 23:16 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 15:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 07:15 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 10:21 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 23:46 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 08:02 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 00:01 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 13:20 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 04:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 20:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 12:26 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 04:25 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 20:15 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 12:15 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 04:15 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |