PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Topbidder

0x8d7ef18863af6452cdc839d3b79f3e94833985c5

Realised P&L
$-52.67
Volume
$13.5k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$84.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0620.032$25.40−$24.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.125$22.73+$2.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0420.021$19.34−$20.66
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.0800.055$6.88−$3.13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3800.045$5.92−$44.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.255$2.55−$0.45
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1400.021$1.46−$8.54
Will Solana dip to $100 January 19-25? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 17? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00−$30.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 16? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 17? · No0.0120.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 17? · No0.0530.000$0.00−$25.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 15? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2PM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 14? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 22:05Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$3.00
10-30 22:03Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999999$20.00
09-27 20:112026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.08$10.00
09-27 19:59Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0249781067$20.00
09-21 19:12Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.062$50.00
09-21 19:10Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.05$13.16
06-24 22:10Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2273856209$34.79
06-24 22:05Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999948$20.00
06-24 21:56Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSELL0.86$25.90
06-24 21:56Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.8299999973$25.00
06-24 21:50Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
06-24 21:50Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.359999977$5.00
06-24 21:48Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.3299999591$5.00
03-01 20:58Will the US strike Somalia next?BUY0.0208540198$10.00
03-01 20:55Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?BUY0.16$30.00