Topbidder
0x8d7ef18863af6452cdc839d3b79f3e94833985c5
- Realised P&L
- $-52.67
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $84.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.61at 0.128Will Solana dip to $120 in January?
- +$116.33at 0.240Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?
- +$52.01at 0.750Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?
- +$19.68at 0.590Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?
- +$2.40at 0.038Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 22:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 22:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 20:11 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 19:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0249781067 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 19:12 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.062 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 19:10 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $13.16 |
| 06-24 22:10 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2273856209 | $34.79 |
| 06-24 22:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $20.00 |
| 06-24 21:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $25.90 |
| 06-24 21:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999973 | $25.00 |
| 06-24 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 21:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 03-01 20:58 | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BUY | 0.0208540198 | $10.00 |
| 03-01 20:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? | BUY | 0.16 | $30.00 |