0x8d79468ebfa5ba3cf064dc2a5b412fa1bac46afc
0x8d79468ebfa5ba3cf064dc2a5b412fa1bac46afc
- Realised P&L
- $50.19
- Volume
- $379.91
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $57.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck · Hugo Grenier | 0.780 | 0.985 | $37.38 | +$7.76 |
| Columbus: Trevor Svajda vs Andres Andrade · Trevor Svajda | 0.500 | 0.615 | $19.84 | +$3.71 |
| Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.04 |
| Tiburon: Ryan Seggerman vs Mitchell Krueger · Ryan Seggerman | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.38 |
| Drake vs. Davidson: O/U 53.5 · Under | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.49 |
| Columbia vs. Georgetown: O/U 51.5 · Over | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.39at 0.125Buenos Aires 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Boscardin Dias
- +$26.39at 0.340San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- +$15.59at 0.392Chengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 16:45 | Drake vs. Davidson: O/U 53.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $19.49 |
| 09-26 16:43 | Columbia vs. Georgetown: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $19.54 |
| 09-26 05:59 | Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BUY | 0.18 | $18.04 |
| 09-24 18:22 | Chengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino | BUY | 0.38 | $9.74 |
| 09-24 16:29 | Buenos Aires 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Boscardin Dias | BUY | 0.119999999 | $9.52 |