Wuestenigel
0x8d75f060ccbb413b182ab5bd807cb0b2bda7c6f1
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $371.5k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $340.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.660 | 0.170 | $340.00 | −$980.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$2.5kat 0.632US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$2.3kat 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
- +$2.0kat 0.100Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 15?
- +$2.0kat 0.114Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-09 03:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.51818562 | $2.5k |
| 02-08 11:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5446809912 | $1.3k |
| 02-08 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5519180571 | $2.1k |
| 02-08 02:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5534407441 | $819.71 |
| 02-08 00:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5497980587 | $1.5k |
| 02-07 15:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $521.11 |
| 02-07 08:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5540336962 | $392.77 |
| 02-07 01:59 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in February 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $7.50 |
| 02-07 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5535923452 | $1.2k |
| 02-04 04:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $165.45 |
| 02-04 04:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $251.40 |
| 02-04 04:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $274.29 |
| 02-03 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $1.9k |
| 02-03 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $22.36 |
| 02-03 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $110.36 |