PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8D6f41B68891eC9f1910E5165F2Dc3c20085Ab73-1771855838977

0x8d6f41b68891ec9f1910e5165f2dc3c20085ab73

Realised P&L
$-2.65
Volume
$27.9k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$15.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? · No0.9990.996$15.93−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 05:32Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30?BUY0.999$15.98
07-06 07:09Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.003$6.00
07-02 02:52Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$7.60
05-13 09:19Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.003$6.00
05-11 04:44Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$0.18
05-08 04:11Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$9.87
04-24 10:01Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$9.90
04-23 04:45Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$9.99
04-22 06:56Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$10.88
04-21 06:56Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.009$10.17
04-20 02:55Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.92
03-26 03:10Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.972$0.97
02-28 23:57Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?SELL0.999$13.08