0x8D6f41B68891eC9f1910E5165F2Dc3c20085Ab73-1771855838977
0x8d6f41b68891ec9f1910e5165f2dc3c20085ab73
- Realised P&L
- $-2.65
- Volume
- $27.9k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $15.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $15.93 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.42at 0.969Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 4?
- +$0.21at 0.985Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 17?
- +$0.09at 0.992Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?
- +$0.07at 0.993Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.04at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 07-06 07:09 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 07-02 02:52 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.60 |
| 05-13 09:19 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 05-11 04:44 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.18 |
| 05-08 04:11 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.87 |
| 04-24 10:01 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.90 |
| 04-23 04:45 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 04-22 06:56 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.88 |
| 04-21 06:56 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.17 |
| 04-20 02:55 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 03-26 03:10 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.972 | $0.97 |
| 02-28 23:57 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.08 |