HUhuhu
0x8d6c2d39d43302df2e17ff453cb9c5a6e8f890fd
- Realised P&L
- $-91.64
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $32.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June? · No | 0.700 | 1.000 | $28.57 | +$8.57 |
| Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027? · No | 0.960 | 0.940 | $3.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.11at 0.180Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?
- +$1.83at 0.920Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?
- +$1.51at 0.930Will Trump post less than 80 times on Truth March 21-28?
- +$1.23at 0.620Patriots vs. Titans
- +$0.22at 0.969Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 06:14 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999289 | $3.00 |
| 06-02 04:56 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June? | BUY | 0.6999999685 | $20.00 |
| 06-02 04:55 | Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.00 |
| 09-19 09:12 | Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025? | BUY | 0.92 | $21.00 |
| 03-24 08:00 | Will Trump post less than 80 times on Truth March 21-28? | BUY | 0.9299999651 | $20.00 |
| 11-22 13:08 | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BUY | 0.6199999297 | $3.00 |
| 11-03 07:52 | Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $6.75 |
| 11-03 06:05 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024? | BUY | 0.9689999985 | $6.89 |
| 11-03 06:05 | Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 11-03 06:05 | Patriots vs. Titans | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 11-03 06:02 | Monkeypox pandemic in 2024? | BUY | 0.9689997397 | $3.00 |
| 11-03 06:02 | Bird flu pandemic in 2024? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.60 |
| 11-03 05:59 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4379999981 | $101.00 |
| 11-03 05:59 | Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $13.50 |
| 11-03 05:58 | Will Michigan be the tipping point state? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |