0x8d6ae388162c1c11c962898c9e6185f86bee8e7c
- Realised P&L
- $-11.24
- Volume
- $106.98
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $2.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.500 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.59at 0.442Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.85at 0.520US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$1.59at 0.562Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$1.33at 0.606Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.08at 0.650Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:57 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 03:48 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 21:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 12:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 3? | BUY | 0.3024389292 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 11:12 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 03:10 | Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 18:59 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 09:57 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 01:11 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 17:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 07:22 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 23:20 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 15:06 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 04:12 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 20:10 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799998886 | $1.77 |