patspats
0x8d4fcdc6d5ce852ea249fd1e061ef91ca8d4bdfa
- Realised P&L
- $445.62
- Volume
- $69.8k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $16.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.044 | $16.53 | −$79.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$233.71at 0.828Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$171.00at 0.430US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
- +$167.57at 0.370Dober vs. Prepolec
- +$126.65at 0.332UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$99.39at 0.200Noche UFC: Costa vs. Coria
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 19:09 | Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2477972973 | $36.67 |
| 06-22 22:43 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | SELL | 0.83 | $12.45 |
| 06-22 22:33 | Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.217 | $7.81 |
| 06-17 07:41 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | SELL | 0.54 | $16.20 |
| 06-17 07:36 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | BUY | 0.51 | $7.65 |
| 06-17 07:34 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 06-12 08:44 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 06-07 03:10 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 05-10 04:44 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 04-30 04:00 | Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.32 |
| 04-30 04:00 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.45 |
| 04-30 04:00 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.1501028317 | $108.46 |
| 04-30 04:00 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 03-23 11:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 03-23 11:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.61 |