PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

patspats

0x8d4fcdc6d5ce852ea249fd1e061ef91ca8d4bdfa

Realised P&L
$445.62
Volume
$69.8k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$16.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2590.044$16.53$79.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 19:09Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.2477972973$36.67
06-22 22:43Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?SELL0.83$12.45
06-22 22:33Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.217$7.81
06-17 07:41Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?SELL0.54$16.20
06-17 07:36Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?BUY0.51$7.65
06-17 07:34Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?BUY0.26$26.00
06-12 08:44UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2$20.00
06-07 03:10Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.85$170.00
05-10 04:44UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.39$39.00
04-30 04:00Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.04$0.32
04-30 04:00Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?SELL0.05$1.45
04-30 04:00Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?SELL0.1501028317$108.46
04-30 04:00Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.31$31.00
03-23 11:25S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?BUY0.11$22.00
03-23 11:21S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?BUY0.08$7.61