0x8d4b6bd6fe9eb81179836306f1a0ae85188eea81
0x8d4b6bd6fe9eb81179836306f1a0ae85188eea81
- Realised P&L
- $-397.27
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 926
- Open portfolio
- $6.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded926
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Al Sadd SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.245 | $1.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.445 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.615 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.635 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.405 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.405 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$275.95at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$91.89at 0.327Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
- +$50.36at 0.316Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$35.96at 0.359Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$25.54at 0.394Solana Up or Down - July 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:53 | Will Al Sadd SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2534112962 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 03:50 | Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 03:47 | Will Al Sadd SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 03:46 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 03:46 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 03:45 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 03:45 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 03:45 | Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:13 | Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:13 | Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:12 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:11 | Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:08 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.07 |
| 11-01 16:43 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:42 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |