ghfjk
0x8d4a8b1f041c7a5b44a8134c112dfca9d6e9b5c0
- Realised P&L
- $13.12
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $0.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.56at 0.538Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$5.78at 0.450Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?
- +$3.11at 0.710Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
- +$3.09at 0.830Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.200Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 13:10 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 13:33 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 04-25 12:26 | Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 16? | SELL | 0.084 | $0.84 |
| 03-14 07:14 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 03-08 11:19 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 03-04 12:11 | US strikes Iraq by February 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.21 |
| 03-03 11:58 | US strikes Iraq by February 28? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 11:57 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31? | SELL | 0.965 | $1.15 |
| 02-28 08:57 | Iran strike on US military by February 28? | BUY | 0.9159999707 | $1.00 |
| 02-26 12:04 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 02-12 15:58 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.48 |
| 02-12 13:39 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.24 |
| 02-12 02:51 | Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.932 | $11.18 |