radiobil
0x8d44a786f3d744567d79ddacb19cc0a36dd5146c
- Realised P&L
- $-522.10
- Volume
- $71.5k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $491.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.085 | $313.70 | −$449.15 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.305 | $167.60 | +$19.23 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.015 | $10.50 | −$45.50 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.63 |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-09? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$491.18 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.98 |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.96at 0.730UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$40.12at 0.733Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$-250.71at 0.398Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 18:22 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.028 | $10.36 |
| 09-10 18:21 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 09-09 17:04 | Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 09-09 17:03 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.04 | $12.00 |
| 09-09 12:56 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.27 | $175.37 |
| 08-28 11:48 | Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0047270166 | $3.09 |
| 08-28 11:47 | Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.07 |
| 07-11 19:16 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7199999997 | $400.00 |
| 07-10 20:29 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7225 | $108.38 |
| 07-10 14:28 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.386 | $501.80 |
| 06-29 19:02 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.073 | $42.63 |