0x8d3a03bb244b9962f66081559dbf8e86f88b26d3
- Realised P&L
- $1.33
- Volume
- $11.24
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting? · No | 0.994 | 0.993 | $2.93 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.22at 0.628Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins
- +$0.02at 0.993Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.00at 1.000Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
- +$-0.01at 1.009Dota 2: Execration vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:54 | Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.23 |
| 09-17 05:01 | Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.70 |
| 09-15 08:48 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9899993833 | $1.22 |
| 09-12 08:31 | Dota 2: Execration vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.9989993762 | $1.23 |
| 09-10 19:34 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9819999945 | $2.50 |
| 09-04 17:57 | Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |