Jamesood
0x8d384ae375dd298c08c3e1a4f8064293d47aa260
- Realised P&L
- $21.39
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $305.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.890 | $229.62 | +$20.64 |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.160 | $76.00 | +$4.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.14at 0.870Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
- +$10.25at 0.957Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
- +$9.81at 0.910Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
- +$8.05at 0.914Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$6.14at 0.860Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 07:22 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 10-13 01:58 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $18.75 |
| 10-13 01:57 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $52.50 |
| 05-28 09:01 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $264.02 |
| 05-22 08:42 | Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $321.03 |
| 05-17 06:16 | Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $140.43 |
| 05-14 01:49 | Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $392.37 |
| 04-30 03:03 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.788 | $374.29 |
| 04-25 08:13 | Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.936 | $342.57 |
| 04-24 08:02 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.7969999999 | $378.57 |
| 04-20 07:38 | Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.9139999999 | $334.52 |
| 04-16 09:49 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.955 | $282.33 |
| 04-09 07:37 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.971 | $679.70 |
| 04-01 09:58 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.863 | $517.80 |
| 03-25 03:25 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.883 | $529.80 |