moksel
0x8d372429b423188760e3e59442ff1333803cb317
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $705.6k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.994 | 0.983 | $2.9k | −$32.59 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.837 | 0.850 | $1.6k | +$25.78 |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.988 | 0.983 | $503.68 | −$2.76 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.989 | 0.956 | $50.12 | −$1.73 |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No | 0.985 | 0.944 | $36.34 | −$1.58 |
| Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.93 |
| Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
| Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$919.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.749Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?
- +$1.5kat 0.823Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 9-15?
- +$933.10at 0.951Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?
- +$864.59at 0.853Will ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$702.30at 0.729Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 19:01 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $516.00 |
| 09-08 19:00 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $406.02 |
| 08-27 09:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $168.66 |
| 08-24 12:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.4k |
| 08-20 18:45 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.7k |
| 08-12 15:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $940.00 |
| 08-11 06:58 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $770.00 |
| 08-10 11:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $856.26 |
| 07-30 13:40 | GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $990.00 |
| 07-29 15:57 | GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9666282772 | $454.24 |
| 07-21 12:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.989 | $2.0k |
| 07-17 08:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | SELL | 0.9913533569 | $858.49 |
| 07-13 06:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | BUY | 0.991 | $654.21 |
| 07-13 06:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | BUY | 0.984 | $852.12 |
| 07-07 13:50 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.991 | $3.0k |