TradingToRaiseMoneyForLocalLLMServer
0x8d3036f06df4cae70408efce65d2957245aac338
- Realised P&L
- $84.87
- Volume
- $23.4k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $113.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.94at 0.306Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$37.68at 0.327United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5
- +$33.10at 0.030Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5
- +$26.47at 0.184Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
- +$18.67at 0.215Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 22:08 | Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $15.00 |
| 10-01 17:05 | Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.2299999975 | $15.00 |
| 09-28 03:55 | Will Andrés Mijes Llovera win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | SELL | 0.02 | $3.44 |
| 09-27 23:28 | Will Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.1075107797 | $4.49 |
| 09-27 23:27 | Will Raúl Lozano Caballero win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.0086793835 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 23:26 | Will Miguel Flores Serna win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.0192091143 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 23:26 | Will Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.0137032604 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 17:20 | Will Arturo Salinas Garza win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.0102803738 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 11:29 | Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.178296252 | $14.00 |
| 09-11 21:55 | Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.1925502315 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 03:16 | Will Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | SELL | 0.0261738149 | $5.80 |
| 09-05 02:15 | Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | SELL | 0.2581693376 | $98.92 |
| 09-05 02:14 | Will Daniel Carrillo Martínez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.0127873831 | $3.00 |
| 09-05 02:12 | Will Miguel Flores Serna win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.0130825035 | $2.00 |
| 09-05 01:11 | Will Arturo Salinas Garza win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.0072739851 | $1.00 |