PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WeatherKirby

0x8d2e6e6e51392b16ba7d7e0f48d5f41e719b770b

Realised P&L
$600.70
Volume
$149.4k
Markets traded
4,920
Open portfolio
$13.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,920
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 3? · Yes0.2100.359$3.60+$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 3? · Yes0.3200.455$3.19+$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 3? · Yes0.3000.445$3.12+$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 3? · Yes0.3000.330$2.31+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 3? · Yes0.2900.170$1.36−$0.96
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 8°C on October 1? · No0.9900.000$0.00−$14.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 04:16Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.99$9.90
10-01 04:16Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.99$4.95
10-01 04:14Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.99$9.90
10-01 04:10Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.9866193374$14.59
10-01 04:08Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.99$9.90
10-01 03:47Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 1?BUY0.98$4.90
10-01 03:45Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 8°C on October 1?BUY0.99$14.85
10-01 03:32Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 1?BUY0.995$20.89
09-29 13:19Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on September 29?BUY0.99$19.80
09-29 13:19Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on September 29?BUY0.99$14.85
09-29 13:17Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on September 29?BUY0.9866666667$14.80
09-29 13:17Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on September 29?BUY0.967003342$26.04
09-29 11:14Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on September 29?BUY0.59$4.31
09-29 11:13Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on September 29?BUY0.99$9.90
09-29 11:11Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on September 29?BUY0.6$6.32