dsfv555
0x8d1fa84ae43c220851a36a46c9cbc7344be38eed
- Realised P&L
- $11.14
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $12.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 10? · No | 0.931 | 0.885 | $7.04 | −$0.37 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $5.16 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.20at 0.986Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
- +$2.40at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 1?
- +$1.60at 0.854Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 4.5
- +$0.70at 0.904Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 14?
- +$0.55at 0.971Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of June 1 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 10? | BUY | 0.931 | $7.41 |
| 10-09 02:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.17 |
| 10-07 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.994 | $10.45 |
| 09-01 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 07-07 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.993 | $8.30 |
| 07-02 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.971 | $14.56 |
| 06-26 16:20 | Spread: New Zealand (-1.5) | BUY | 0.985 | $8.59 |
| 06-18 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 19? | BUY | 0.985 | $12.61 |
| 06-09 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.9850035294 | $8.37 |
| 06-02 11:47 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of June 1 2026? | BUY | 0.9701052632 | $18.43 |
| 05-29 14:27 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 29? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.02 |
| 05-18 13:08 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $265? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.51 |
| 05-14 01:14 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 14? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.53 |
| 05-11 01:37 | Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.8504090909 | $9.35 |
| 04-25 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.43 |