PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dsfv555

0x8d1fa84ae43c220851a36a46c9cbc7344be38eed

Realised P&L
$11.14
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$12.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 10? · No0.9310.885$7.04−$0.37
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10? · No0.9980.997$5.16−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 13:17Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 10?BUY0.931$7.41
10-09 02:56Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10?BUY0.998$5.17
10-07 08:47Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8?BUY0.994$10.45
09-01 08:30Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 1?BUY0.999$2.5k
07-07 13:56Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 8?BUY0.993$8.30
07-02 13:36Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 3?BUY0.971$14.56
06-26 16:20Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)BUY0.985$8.59
06-18 06:48Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 19?BUY0.985$12.61
06-09 12:51Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 10?BUY0.9850035294$8.37
06-02 11:47Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of June 1 2026?BUY0.9701052632$18.43
05-29 14:27WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 29?BUY0.975$9.02
05-18 13:08Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $265?BUY0.95$8.51
05-14 01:14Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 14?BUY0.9$6.53
05-11 01:37Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 4.5BUY0.8504090909$9.35
04-25 13:57Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 26?BUY0.997$22.43