0x8d1E856733550559343eB1Fc02C64cDB48B07664-1769723621418
0x8d1e856733550559343eb1fc02c64cdb48b07664
- Realised P&L
- $-175.06
- Volume
- $27.2k
- Markets traded
- 977
- Open portfolio
- $35.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded977
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.31at 0.207Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
- +$25.85at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$19.73at 0.378Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$17.60at 0.625Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$14.03at 0.632Solana Up or Down - March 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:24 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.14 |
| 09-16 12:14 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 09-16 11:56 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $24.00 |
| 03-17 01:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $14.95 |
| 03-17 01:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $14.87 |
| 03-17 00:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.83 | $14.50 |
| 03-15 23:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8106506288 | $14.65 |
| 03-15 18:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $14.98 |
| 03-15 09:05 | Solana Up or Down - March 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9169325153 | $14.90 |
| 03-15 05:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9077912621 | $14.91 |
| 03-15 05:17 | Solana Up or Down - March 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $14.98 |
| 03-15 03:25 | Solana Up or Down - March 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $14.98 |
| 03-15 02:50 | Solana Up or Down - March 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $14.60 |
| 03-15 02:06 | Solana Up or Down - March 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 03-15 02:06 | Solana Up or Down - March 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |